Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000622 0.000701 0.000790 0.000898 0.001026 0.001174 0.001360
2025-02-16 0.000502 0.000607 0.000736 0.000910 0.001141 0.001446 0.001889
2025-02-23 0.000436 0.000555 0.000712 0.000940 0.001276 0.001769 0.002588
2025-03-02 0.000385 0.000509 0.000682 0.000950 0.001376 0.002064 0.003357
2025-03-09 0.000340 0.000463 0.000641 0.000933 0.001425 0.002289 0.004097
2025-03-16 0.000310 0.000433 0.000618 0.000934 0.001503 0.002579 0.005101
2025-03-23 0.000287 0.000410 0.000602 0.000945 0.001596 0.002927 0.006424
2025-03-30 0.000270 0.000395 0.000595 0.000967 0.001715 0.003369 0.008282
2025-04-06 0.000253 0.000376 0.000579 0.000970 0.001795 0.003752 0.010282
2025-04-13 0.000243 0.000368 0.000581 0.001006 0.001954 0.004394 0.013793
2025-04-20 0.000223 0.000342 0.000547 0.000968 0.001936 0.004558 0.015660
2025-04-27 0.000211 0.000328 0.000534 0.000968 0.002010 0.005022 0.019501
2025-05-04 0.000202 0.000319 0.000531 0.000992 0.002158 0.005824 0.026809
2025-05-11 0.000193 0.000310 0.000525 0.001011 0.002305 0.006738 0.037522
2025-05-18 0.000187 0.000304 0.000527 0.001048 0.002514 0.008058 0.057109
2025-05-25 0.000178 0.000294 0.000519 0.001060 0.002655 0.009228 0.082761
2025-06-01 0.000168 0.000280 0.000500 0.001040 0.002691 0.009958 0.108976
2025-06-08 0.000160 0.000270 0.000490 0.001042 0.002801 0.011194 0.160196
2025-06-15 0.000154 0.000263 0.000484 0.001054 0.002954 0.012865 0.258281
2025-06-22 0.000150 0.000258 0.000483 0.001080 0.003169 0.015255 0.484412
2025-06-29 0.000144 0.000250 0.000474 0.001083 0.003300 0.017287 0.870434
2025-07-06 0.000141 0.000249 0.000479 0.001124 0.003610 0.021395 2.519646
2025-07-13 0.000133 0.000235 0.000456 0.001080 0.003529 0.021846 3.732733